The Price Point Dilemma 08/15/2011
I conducted a quasi-scientific analysis of the Kindle price points of the Top 100 Bestselling Thrillers on Amazon.com today (08-15-11). Here’s what I found: Price = Frequency $0.00 = 29 $5.23 = 1 $9.99 = 5 $0.99 = 26 $5.59 = 1 $11.99 = 1 $1.99 = 1 $7.99 = 5 $12.99 = 16 $2.99 = 6 $8.99 = 1 $13.99 = 1 $4.79 = 1 $9.59 = 1 $14.99 = 5 Observations: (Kindle pricing) · Out of the top 100 bestselling thrillers on Amazon.com today, 54 are priced at $0.99 or $0.00. (54%) · There are 34 thrillers charging money and under the $5.00 psychological price point. (34%) · There are 37 thrillers priced over the $5.00 psychological price point. (37%) · $12.99 appears to be the legacy publisher price point for most big-name authors. · $0.99 appears to be the indie publisher price point for most indie/self-published authors. My (Idiot) Evaluations: · The majority of average readers/consumers with a Kindle, purchasing from Amazon.com are choosing from three basic price point categories: A. A free eBook (29%) B. A $0.99 eBook (26%) C. A Best-selling author’s eBook priced at $12.99, $7.99, or $9.99 (26%) Those three categories account for 81% of the Top 100 Bestselling Thrillers, as of today. Now, I’ve been a devotee of Dean Wesley Smith and I do agree with his arguments regarding the reasonable price points of full length novels. The last time I checked Sensei Dean was making a rational argument for $4.99 full-length novels. On the other hand, authors like Joe Konrath, John Locke and Scott Nicholson like the $2.99 to $0.99 price points. Nicholson even has at least one of his novels priced at $0.00. As for me, I originally priced my eBook editions of my debut thriller, _THE WATCHMAN OF EPHRAIM_ at $4.99. I then reduced the price to $2.99. Factoring in such things as time of year, initial spike from the book being published, etc... I’d say that there was NO DIFFERENCE in my sales at either the $4.99 or $2.99 price points. My wife, who is an avid buyer of Kindle books, thinks I’m crazy for selling my books at such a low price. When I show her this type of analysis and tell her about the rationale of successful authors like Konrath, Locke, and Nicholson … she replies with her South Philly swagger, “… Just because they’re nuts, doesn’t mean you have to be!” Her points are: 1. If she likes an author or book, she buys it – period, regardless of the price. 2. She actually holds it against a book/author if she sees a price point under the normal legacy publisher prices. My (Idiot) Conclusions: · People are buying books for a bunch of different reasons. But with that said, right now … · A slight majority of readers/consumers of Kindle eBooks are mostly buying $0.99 or free. · BUT … there still seems to be over 1/3 of Kindle readers/buyers that will pay whatever price for their favorite legacy author’s works. One final thought and request … In September, I’m about to release my second novel, the sequel to _THE WATCHMAN OF EPHRAIM_ titled, _SIGNS of WAR_. QUESTION: At what price do YOU think I should sell the eBOOK editions??? (and follow-up question … Should I keep _THE WATCHMAN OF EPHRAIM_ at $2.99 or drop it to $0.99 or free. Keep in mind, both books are part of the CRIS DE NIRO series - _TWOE_ is Book I.) I'd sincerely appreciate your feedback! p.s. ... Something I believe, ""I learned this, at least, by my experiment: that if one advances confidently in the direction of his dreams, and endeavors to live the life which he has imagined, he will meet with a success unexpected in common hours." — Henry David Thoreau CommentsLisa de 08/15/2011 8:21pm
$12.99 ... but then, you are my favorite author. Lisa R 08/15/2011 8:23pm
You have been living in the land of comps for too long -- how's that for Vegas swagger?! 08/16/2011 6:34am
I think you should leave book 1 at $2.99, and price your new release higher at $4.99. 08/16/2011 7:44am
It's a tough call, Gerard, and your statistics make me want to cry. I'm with you Greg ... _The Watchman of Ephraim_, my first novel came in at just over 86,000. The one I'm releasing next month will be around 94,000 when its released next month. 08/17/2011 8:09am
Throw away the stats…go with your gut! brendan stallard 08/17/2011 8:23am
Gerard, 08/17/2011 8:50am
In the current market I think the expectations have been set a bit in that the price of the first book in a series comes in lower to entice new readers, but that later ones are set to what I would consider reasonable levels. 08/17/2011 8:54am
I say $7.99 or $9.99. Those are where books at the low end for "legacy" publishers typically settle and 8 bucks is a bargain. Even 10 bucks is still an easy buy, even if it slips over impulse. 08/17/2011 9:38am
New book: $2.99 Do you want to sell lots of books, then price the book very low. If you want to make a profit price it higher. Another idea is to price the book by the number of pages, multiplied by the quality factor. For example, each 20k pages is $0.99. Therefore a 60k page book will be $2.99. If you feel the book is above average, add another 20%, which would make the book $3.59. This is pricing by formula, and will take the guess out of it. Unfortunately pricing is more an art then a science. Good luck! Carol 08/17/2011 9:55am
I buy e-books on the kindle. I buy books between $3.99 and 99 cents. 08/17/2011 9:59am
As a fairly recent Kindle customer, here's my pattern thus far: if it's under $5, it's an impulse buy. I see it, I like it, I click. Over $5 and I have to think if I really want the book. So if you're building an audience, lower price triggers impulse buying, so it should be a factor. If you have a strong fan base, you can charge more. I appreciate the replies! DG - Interesting formula. I'm a quant by nature so formulas appeal to me - though I agree with you, I think pricing can start with the formula but ultimately has to have qualitative thinking applied to it before setting. Thx ... 08/17/2011 10:44am
At 80k words, a full-length novel is worth at least $4.99. But what it is WORTH vs. what readers will PAY, now there's the rub. I will give my experience (peppered with a bit of my wife's as well) as a Kindle reader and after having just under two months of statistics from the Pauper's Book Club. 08/17/2011 11:05am
Good points can be nmade on all sides. 08/17/2011 11:18am
Hi, 08/17/2011 11:25am
Duh. If I'm going to mention the sliding scale, I ought to put what I think it should be, huh? Genevieve 08/17/2011 11:26am
I apologize if this has already been stated at length (I haven't read the whole thread, which I know is rude but I'm crunched for time!), but how much effort you've put into a book has no effect on what price the market will bear. As a result, I don't think effort should be the main input when deciding on price. 08/17/2011 11:33am
Doing a survey on exactly this topic. Thus far - $.99 - $4.99 is ahead. Gives quite a bit of room to maneuver - but - $5.00-$10.00 is right behind in the polling. Damon - First, thanks for pointing me to The Pauper's Book Club. Your buying decisions are in line with many others (and mine). Beth 08/17/2011 11:34am
(*psst, passive guy sent me...*) 08/17/2011 12:06pm
This business is moving so fast right now that EVERYONE is shooting from pure feeling and instinct. The ones who have real data are sharing it with all of us, but some of them have already "made it", so their data doesn't really tell you what you need to know as a newer author. You'll have to find what works best for you and your books. You have one book out and are putting out a second book in that series. Michael K. - Your scale is in line with the one my friend/Sensei Dean Wesley Smith promotes. It makes sense and DWS has already published a few blogs on how many less books an author has to sell in order to earn the same amount of money - at 70% versus the 35% at $0.99. 08/17/2011 12:20pm
The post I wrote on ebook pricing a year ago is still the one that gets the most hits. Beth - you made me think of a course I took at Wharton, taught by a quant professor from the University of Chicago (the Mecca of quant). The title of the course was, "The Psychology of Investing" (based on the book of the same name written by that prof.) Anyway, we were all expecting a quant to inundate us with all sorts of statistical analyses to explain people's buying/selling habits when it came to investing. It turns out, this Professor decided that rational/logical statistics derived from past performance could not accurately predict irrational buying/selling habits. Damon - I've read in a few places that because of the emergence and convenience of eBook readers, readers are trending towards shorter full-length novels - so you may be onto something! 08/17/2011 1:28pm
Interesting discussion! K.A. -- that's an e-publisher, not an indie, so I think some of the arguments for lower indie pricing still hold. :) 08/17/2011 2:31pm
I can't give you advice, but I'll say that if I had, say, three or four books in a series I would make the first book either free or sell it for $0.99 and use it like a 'hook' to get people interested in my series. I would try charging $2.99 (or thereabouts) for the other books in the series and then adjust my pricing strategy depending on what sales looked like after a few months. Scath 08/17/2011 3:34pm
I'm with Mr. Kingswood on pricing. I think Anthea, I do like the control (my wife says I'm a control freak, I choose to take that as a compliment). It appears that the $4.99 to $2.99 area is where my novels have to be with the $0.99 price used for the first in the series and as a short-term incentive. I will definitely post how it turns out. Thanks! Woo! Scath ... you have to feed us a bit more info on that! Can you attribute any other causes for the sales tanking with lower prices? 08/17/2011 4:11pm
Thanks to G for posing the question, and everyone else for their insight. 08/17/2011 5:43pm
Mate, there is HEAPS of information on this out there, from Konrath's blog to Bob Mayer's blog and Kindleboard Forum posts. South Philly Wife 08/17/2011 6:01pm
$9- why you say? … because $9 is the price of the best cheesesteak in the universe at Geno’s in South Philly (although Jim’s on South Street is a close second). It would be appropriate that Gerard pay homage to his second favorite Philly creation! 08/17/2011 6:42pm
Lots of great points! Suzan - it does, thanks! Scath 08/17/2011 8:59pm
Well, since you asked. :) Scath 08/18/2011 1:21pm
No problem. =) The following is just my personal opinion and should be taken with at least a few grains of salt: 08/28/2011 4:12pm
I think of books as like coffee. For anything less that the price of a coffee, the price does not matter. Anything more than a coffee has to be SOLD, by having a Big name attached to it, a solid fan base, a clever marketing gimmick - whatever. 09/07/2011 11:12am
I'm new to self-publishing, but I've decided to sell short stories in the .99 to 2.99 range and longer work in the 3.00-6.00 range. I'm still experimenting with price. Leave a Reply |

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